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ow does Forex work?
At the beginning of their trading career, there are many aspiring traders who will have trouble wrapping their mind around how Forex trading works or if Forex trading works at all. These questions point to the very heart of the problem – they are taking the wrong approach.
False motives, unrealistic goals, greed, inappropriate haste, lack of effort and insufficient knowledge are the main reasons why many of those who try jump-starting a trading career leave disappointed and empty handed.
Before you do anything, sit back and think about how much there is behind the Forex market and how it works.
Ask yourself the following questions:
What do I know about the basic principles of price formation for every asset in the world?
What is the underlying structure of the trading industry?
What is the nature of international economic interactions?
What are the key principles of fundamental and technical schools of market analysis?
What are the psychological intricacies of being a trader?
What actually happens when a trader presses a button?
Let's start from the beginning.
First, there was supply and demand
In economics, supply and demand is a model that explains price formation in a free competitive marketplace. The price of goods is settled at a point where the quantity demanded by consumer is balanced by the quantity supplied by producer.
Let's say you are out there one day doing grocery shopping. You need apples and there happens to be only a single vendor with just the right amount of apples. You negotiate, agree on the price and make the exchange – a set amount of money for a set amount of apples. Both you and the vendor made a trade, getting what you wanted.
The next day, you are out there again looking to buy the same amount of apples, only now there are two vendors, both having the amount of apples you need. This means that there is higher supply of apples then there is demand for them.
The competition between vendors will push the price of apples down since both of them realise you will probably go for the cheaper apples, assuming all other things are equal. A new price will be set and you will make a deal with whichever vendor you see fit.
Alternatively, if that day you came with a friend who is also interested in apples, but only one vendor was there, there would be more demand for apples than supply. A vendor would recognise this and up the price of his apples, knowing that both you and your friend will definitely buy all of his apples.
This is the ABC of economics and it is absolutely vital that you, as an aspiring trader, understand the simple logic of how does this little apple-market works, since it will help you understand how the Forex market works.
Things may start to get more complicated from here on. Applying the apple market scenario to the foreign exchange market, every time a particular currency is bought, surplus demand is created on the market, throwing the price off balance and pushing it higher.
Similarly, every time a particular currency is sold, a surplus supply is created – again, throwing the price off balance and pushing it down.
The amount of impact is directly proportionate to the trading volume per deal. Big players, like national banks, for example, can cause a lot of disequilibrium by tampering with the supply of their home currency. Small players, like retail traders, can only influence the market ever so slightly, but still do through their sheer numbers.
The ever-changing supply and demand of currencies is what makes Forex charts tick. The philosophy of price balancing is key to understanding how online Forex trading works, since all the economic events in the world are relevant to the market only in terms of how much they influence the supply and demand of an asset. Or, it is worth mentioning, how much they influence the projected supply and demand of an asset.
Using our apple market as an example, if one of the apple vendors went bankrupt this season, both you and your friend can expect the price of apples to rise before you even show up at the market.
Draw a mental map of the industry before you get lost
When considering how the Forex market works it is best imagined as an ever-changing ocean. There are plenty of fish in that ocean, from big to small depending on their buying power. There are multi-billion leviathans like national banks, multinational companies and hedge funds.
Their monetary policy and trading decisions make the biggest waves, throwing prices off balance the most. There are mid-sized fish – private investors, companies in need of hedging and private banks. Then there are the small players – financial brokers, smaller banks and smaller investors.
Most of the abovementioned market participants have direct access to the Forex interbank, which is the market place where all the currency exchanging magic happens. They are allowed to, simply because they are over a certain threshold of funds at hand. This means they can trade with each other without having to go through middlemen.
The smallest players, who can be viewed as the plankton of the financial ocean, trying to survive long enough to grow big is the retail Forex trader, which of course includes you. The buying power of a casual trader is usually so small compared to the big fish that he needs a Forex broker or a bank to provide a financially leveraged trading account and access to the market via trading servers.
Understanding how the Forex market works as well as one's position in the scale of things will inspire the necessary caution needed when trading.
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What does any of this have to do with the powers that be?
Forex is the currencies market, as you should be aware by now, and currencies, unlike most other tradable assets, are economic tools as much as they are economic indicators. Roughly speaking, if countries were companies, currencies would be their stock.
Policy makers at central banks are the biggest tweakers of money supply, which makes their monetary policy decisions a major price-influencing factor on Forex trading and how it works.
The most obvious and simple example would be the interest rates set by the national bank of every country in the world that has one. Since the US dollar, euro, British pound and Japanese yen are the most traded currencies in the world, the Federal Reserve Bank, European Central Bank, Bank of England and Bank of Japan are respectively the biggest fish in the ocean.
Understanding how this can affect the economy will help you understand how the Forex market works.
When interest rates are increased, and they can be solely on the national bank's word, it gets more expensive for market participants to borrow that currency from that bank. Momentarily, this causes a shortage in currency supply and pushes the currency price up.
Which is a good thing, right? Who wouldn't want a strong national currency?
Well, not really. Short term, this means less money to play with for business developments, less expendable household income and, ultimately, a slower rate of economic growth. However, this slows down inflation and slows down the inevitable build up of debt – which, in the long term, is a very good thing.
Alternatively, when interest rates are cut, all market participants borrow more money. Momentarily, a surplus money supply is created and the currency price goes down. Short term, this means business expansions, increased household spendings and a growing economy.
Sounds really good?
Well, again, not really. The more money that is borrowed means the more money that is owed. In the long run, the accumulated bank credit comes down on everybody's head like a big storm creating a financial crisis. This is called the macro economic cycle.
This pinnacle is common to all capitalistic-type economies. National banks are continually trying to balance the scales by periodically raising and lowering interest rates. This is called the micro economic cycle.
These economic cycles are much like climate change cycles - slow, unstoppable and very dangerous to the market participants that can't see them coming.
Analysis is the key
Analysis is not only the key to success in trading, analysis, to some extent is the only thing that makes Forex trading really work.
The two principal schools of market analysis are fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis is an evolved form of financial audit, only on the scale of a country or, sometimes, the world. This is the oldest form of price forecasting that looks at the various elements of an economy – its current stage in the cycle, relevant events, future prognosis, and the weighted possible impact on the market.
Fundamental analysis deals with a country's GDP and unemployment rates, interest rates and export amounts, war, elections, natural disasters and economic advancements. Impact is weighted in terms of influence on supply and demand. For example recent advancements in shale oil drilling technologies are promising a steady and increased supply of oil now and in the near future, which has driven oil prices to their decade low in winter 2014/15.
Fundamental analysis requires an understanding of international economics and deals with factors as yet unaccounted for by the market. This school of anaylsis works for investing and long-term trading.
The drawback of this type of analysis is the element of uncertainty that so many inputs create. The advantage of fundamental analysis is that when done correctly, it predicts fundamental price movements that can help generate profit over a prolonged period of time.
Technical analysis is a younger form of market analysis that deals only with two variables – the time and the price. Both are strictly quantifiable, accounted for by the market and are both undeniable facts. This is why for many, Forex trading works better when studying charts rather than making economic inquiries.
Whether you are drawing support and resistance lines, identifying key levels, applying technical indicators or comparing candlestick formations - you are figuring out how online trading Forex works without looking into causes for supply and demand. Technical analysis can be used for both short and long term trading purposes. It is the only thing available to quick-style traders like scalpers, who make their profit from the infamous daily volatility on Forex rather than trend following.
The strength of the technical approach is in analysing quantifiable information precisely as it has been accounted for by the market. The drawback is that it has already affected the market. To trust the outcomes of technical analysis one should subscribe to the notion that price formations in the past may have an effect on price formations in the future, which to many fundamentalists seems ridiculous.
Putting it simply, fundamental analysis is an economic detective with elements of future forecasting, while technical analysis is visual price-time archaeology, combined with statistics.
Fortune favours the prepared
Lack of preparation is the very reason why so many aspiring traders fail before they ever manage to figure out how Forex trading works.
Numerous books are written about the trader's psychology and how to avoid the pitfalls that a trader's mind is keen on slipping into. Again, the problem is the approach and it is easy to get confused when everything is new.
Some Forex brokers, due to the nature of their business, often pitch Forex as a pseudo-scientific gambling attraction that is basically like flipping a coin only with a somewhat better methodology.
As a result of such marketing, newcomers come with little or no training, expecting to make fortunes out of $10 in a few decisive clicks of a mouse. They jump into the market full of hope and the market spits them back out, disappointed and empty handed.
The majority of Forex traders lose money and their broker's business model is well adjusted to that trend. This is neither good, nor bad –this is the reason thanks that the market exists. Every time you close with profit, somebody else has to close with a loss.
Getting back to our point about being prepared, there's nothing that would prepare you better than demo trading – a risk-free way of trading in real-time conditions to get a better feel for the market. It is highly recommended to immerse yourself in demo trading first and only then moving on to live trading. The results will speak for themselves.
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How does Forex trading work from a practical standpoint?
A currency value is measured through how much of another currency it can buy. This is called a price quote. There are always two prices in a price quote - bid and ask. The ask price is used when buying a currency, while the bid price is used when selling. Note that the ask price of any financial instrument is at all times higher than the bid price. Thus, a bank will always buy your currency a bit cheaper and sell it to you at a higher rate. The difference between bid and ask is called the spread.
Both bid and ask prices are communicated between market participants almost instantaneously at all times except when the market is closed. A trader receives quotes via the internet from the brokerage firm who provided the trading account for him. In turn, the broker firm receives price quotes from its liquidity providers – banks.
Generally speaking, the more liquidity, the tighter the spread, which is better for everybody. Usually trading is ongoing, conducted smoothly and liquidity is plentiful. However there are times, like during major news releases, when price gaps occur due to major price shifts over the shortest periods of time.
The rest is simple Forex mechanics. Trading takes place on the chosen Forex platform at the click of a mouse. When, for example, a buy order is placed on EUR/USD pair, a portion of funds from the trader's account is used to purchase the pair's base currency – in this case the euro – and sells the pair's quoted currency – US dollar.
The broker does this and it is called placing a buy order. The order is placed either with the broker (Market Maker) or communicated directly to the Forex interbank market (ECN execution), where the big players are. It is important to understand that a trader can place an order to sell a currency that he does not 'own'.
Next, depending on the trading strategy, a trader waits until the purchased currency grows in value, relative to the sold one. When the accumulated profit is satisfying to the trader, he closes the order and the broker does the opposite set of transactions - sells euros and buys dollars. A reverse process takes place when a trader places a sell order.
The concepts of buying and selling in Forex can be confusing at first, since in every trade one currency is exchanged for another, meaning there is always both buy and sell in every trade. For a beginner trader, it might be easier to think of a currency pair as an abstract financial instrument to which a price is assigned by the market.
Now you know the main driving forces of the market, its underlying structure in terms of key players, two main schools of market analysis and how online Forex trading worls from a practical standpoint.
Source: https://admiralmarkets.com/education/articles/forex-basics/how-does-forex-work?#c!=1 © Admiral Markets
BACA JUGA:
Health and Fitness: Diabetes Article Category
Type 2 Diabetes - Plant Protein Intake Improves Muscle Mass in the Elderly
In 2017 the Journal of Diabetes Research reported on a study showing a healthy intake of protein, especially plant protein, was linked with high muscle mass in elderly people who had been diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes. The study was carried out at the Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine in Kyoto, Japan. A total of 168 elderly people with Type 2 diabetes were included in the study. The participants who ate more significant amounts of protein, especially vegetable protein, had higher levels of muscle mass. From these results, the investigators concluded dietary protein from plant sources, was linked with higher muscle mass in elderly Type 2 diabetics.
Type 2 Diabetes - Fat Formed From Polyunsaturated Oils Does Not Contribute To Insulin Resistance
People who have been diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes along with the rest of us who haven't, have long been told to avoid saturated fats such as lard, to help prevent developing heart and blood vessel disease. Now, according to scientists at the University of Colorado in Boulder and the Cedars Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, United States, obesity caused by polyunsaturated fat does not contribute to the development of insulin resistance, the cause of Type 2 diabetes.
What Everyone Ought to Know About Diabetes and Sleep
You probably know that watching what you eat is essential for managing your diabetes, but you may not realize that how you sleep can have a significant impact too. In fact, the relationship between diabetes and sleep runs two ways.
Type 2 Diabetes - Small Changes Can Have An Impact on Your Diabetes Diagnosis
For most people, being diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes is shocking news. The majority of people do not see it coming. While the symptoms can be visible, it is uncommon to have the knowledge and awareness to be able to identify the effects of the rise in blood sugar levels. Not to mention the average person underestimates the consequences of an unhealthy diet. We all know drinking soda daily is harmful but many of us seem to think the worst will not happen to us. If you have been recently diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes, don't despair.
Type 2 Diabetes and Healthy Living - Putting It All Together
When it comes to health and well-being, there is almost always a reason. Very little can be attributed to coincidence or bad luck. Even unpredictable diseases like cancer do not necessarily strike at random. There is almost always something we have done that is part of the problem. If you are not in excellent health you may have overlooked something: you might have made a mistake. If you are afflicted with a preventable disease, then it is almost a certainty it has come about as a result of an unfortunate habit or two you have developed over the years. It is crucial to realize your mistakes, and as hard as it might be, take full responsibility for them.
Type 2 Diabetes and Healthy Eating - There Are Benefits to Eating Home Cooked Meals
Are you overweight? Do you have a parent or sibling with Type 2 diabetes? Do you have high blood pressure? If you answered yes to one of these questions, you might be at risk of developing Type 2 diabetes. Eating wisely is one of your most potent weapons in the fight against diabetes. If you had to come up with a list of habits to enhance your life, what would you include?
Type 2 Diabetes: Causes and Treatments
Type 2 diabetes causes, how to prevent type 2 diabetes. Genetics cannot be controlled; exercise, quit smoking, healthy weight loss.
What Is Insulin Microburst Therapy and Why Should Diabetics Care?
Insulin Microburst Therapy is an exciting new, yet little known treatment for diabetes. My experience with this new therapy shows that it has the potential to let diabetics live a life free from the complications of diabetes. In my opinion, Insulin Microburst Therapy is the greatest advancement for the treatment of diabetes since the discovery of Insulin.
How to Prevent Pre-Diabetes From Getting Worse
The doctor says you have pre-diabetes. You are scared and so you should be... you know the consequences should your pre-diabetes morph into actual diabetes. But you can avoid developing full-blown type 2 diabetes with a few simple adjustments to your lifestyle. Here's how...
Type 2 Diabetes - The Best Action You Could Take Is To Educate Yourself
Having Type 2 diabetes is stressful: there is a high level of anxiety in coping with an invisible, ever-present disease. It takes time and energy to understand the disease and learn the best way for you to handle your blood sugar levels and body weight. When it comes to learning and knowledge, there has never been a better time to be alive. Anything you could want to learn about weight loss and blood sugar control is within your reach. All it takes are a handful of online searches to get you started. As for the best method of learning, it is a matter of opinion. You cannot go wrong with the self-education route: in regards to health and well-being, it is the primary method. Even if you had taken a general health and well-being or nutrition course at some point in your student career, it likely was not enough. Besides, we know a lot more today than we did just a few years ago.
Type 2 Diabetes - Can Low Levels of Antibodies Contribute to the Development of Diabetes?
Scientists at Guandong Medical University and several other research institutions in China and Scotland found low levels of certain types of antibodies in people who had been diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes. These antibodies stop inflammation, which has a known link to insulin resistance, the cause of Type 2 diabetes.
Type 2 Diabetes - The Right Reason For Making Lifestyle Changes
There are many reasons to make changes to your lifestyle. It could have to do with a variety of conditions, like Type 2 diabetes, heart disease, obesity, or hypertension. Or it could be for something simple, such as improving your general health. Your perspective is unique in that you have established it over time based on your opinions and observations. Finding someone else with the same outlook is difficult: the best you could do is compare. No doubt you have some ideas about making lifestyle changes. Or you may still be in the early stages and not yet committed to change.
Tpe 2 Diabetes - Eat Like You Have Diabetes to Prevent Developing the Disease
Sometimes the most basic and simple piece of advice you are given will save you from a lot of trouble. It is not like you need long involved answers to complex problems. The basics are often staples, so you should take care not to overlook them. Let us talk about diabetes prevention. It is an essential subject because you are either a Type 2 diabetic or not. If you are part of the latter group, you are by definition at risk of developing the disease, even if only by a small chance. Also, the techniques for Type 2 diabetes prevention are the same as for the treatment process, so this discussion should be insightful for all.
Type 2 Diabetes and Exercise - Three Reasons Why You Are Sedentary
Are you sedentary? If you are unsure of what it means to be sedentary by definition, you ought to ask yourself about physical activity. Are you physically inactive? If so, you are likely sedentary. Unless you have an unconventional physically active job, you are likely not involved in enough activity. It is probably just another reminder to you but remaining sedentary over the long term poses serious consequences. You leave yourself vulnerable to some of the worst health complications just because of a lack of exercise. It is merely a fact physical activity is an essential ingredient for not only preventing health problems but also living a good life.
Type 2 Diabetes - Is Luck a Factor in the Development of Diabetes?
Do you believe in luck? Some people believe most outcomes are the product of particular actions. Otherwise, it is a coincidence. Whereas others believe there is such a thing as luck - regardless of our doings, we may have good and bad things happen to us. Taken to a greater extent, some will believe we tend to be lucky or unlucky as a result. When it comes to health whether luck is involved or not, is often a hot topic for many people. Since it is an area vital for many of us, it will naturally raise the question of just how much influence we have on our well-being. Let us focus on this idea in regards to Type 2 diabetes since it is currently one of the most prevalent problems for middle-aged adults.
Type 2 Diabetes - High Blood Fats and Obesity Increases Your Risk for Chronic Kidney Disease
Hypertriglyceridemic waist (HW) is defined as a waist size over 90 centimeters in men or over 85 centimeters in women, along with high blood fats. In October of 2017, the journal Cardiorenal Medicine reported on a study in which hypertriglyceridemic waist was linked with a high risk for developing kidney disease in people who have been diagnosed with Type 2 diabetes. Investigators at the First Hospital of Qinhuangdao, Qinhuangdao, China, looked at 538 people with Type 2 diabetes. A total of 34.9 percent had HW. Early kidney disease was found in 10.6 percent of the participants with a regular waist measurement and blood fats, compared with 24.5 percent of those participants with hypertriglyceridemic waist.
How Diabetes Can Damage Your Kidneys (and What You Can Do About It)
Your kidneys contain millions of minute blood vessels that filter waste products from your blood. But diabetes can damage these amazing organs, so they lose their filtering ability. How is kidney disease caused and what can you do to prevent or reverse the damage?
Type 2 Diabetes and Weight Loss - Focus on "Good" Calories to Control Your Blood Sugar and Weight
There is such a thing as "good" calories versus "bad" calories. Calories are not created equal - even if a calorie is a calorie, the source they come from provokes different effects. No one can argue calories from a can of soda have the same net effect as calories from a natural fruit juice. It just would not make sense. From a weight loss perspective, it is essential to consider your caloric intake. In this sense, it is vital to manage your input whether it is "good" or "bad" calories. But even then, you ought to focus on the right kind, because it makes a difference.
Type 2 Diabetes and Healthy Eating - Do Your Eating Habits Change With the Seasons?
Changing seasons bring about apparent change. Sometimes it is quick, other times it is gradual, but it never fails to be noticeable. If you live in an area that goes through all four traditional seasons, the effect is even more pronounced. If you do not have a typical winter, odds are you live in an environment that ranges from warm to cool, at the very least at different times of the year. What you may not notice, however, is how your eating habits change according to the season - this is harder to recognize. The move might be subtle, and you could be likely unaware of the differences in your appetite.
Type 2 Diabetes - November Is Diabetes Month
In the United States and Canada November is diabetes month when healthcare professionals bring attention to and raise awareness about the disease and how it impacts on millions of people. The 14th is World Diabetes Day, declared by the United Nations in 2006. The International Diabetes Federation leads the campaign, and the date commemorates the birthday of Frederick Banting, who, alongside Charles Best, discovered insulin in 1922. The symbol for diabetes is a blue circle, like the pink ribbon for breast cancer, the dark blue ribbon for colon cancer, and the turquoise ribbon for ovarian cancer. Blue was taken from the color of the sky, and the circle stands for unity.
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